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2017-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Michigan Wolverines Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 74.6% 25.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 62.9% 37.1% - โœ—
Margin 76.7% 23.3% -6.5 โœ— (22.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 83.4% 16.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% - โœ—

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +16 (85-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wilson * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 19 25 -
Zak Irvin * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 10 16 -
M. Abdur-Rahkman * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 14 15 -
D. Walton Jr. * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 7 1 0 2 11 20 -
Moritz Wagner * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 6 5 -
Duncan Robinson 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Zavier Simpson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 3 4 -
Mark Donnal 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Ibi Watson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Sean Lonergan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Jon Teske 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Fred Wright-Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brent Hibbitts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hill * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 15 20 -
J. Coleman-Lands * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 12 17 -
M. Morgan * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 1 3 16 20 -
T. Abrams * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 4 9 -
L. Black * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 10 15 -
T. Lucas 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 8 1 0 1 5 14 -
K. Nichols 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 13 21 -
M. Finke 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 10 13 -
A. Jordan 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Oladimeji 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Austin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter