Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.2% | 43.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (17.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Coleman-Lands | 35 | 7-13 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 9 | - |
| M. Hill | 28 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 11-13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| M. Morgan | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| T. Abrams | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| M. Finke | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Black | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Lucas | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Thorne Jr. | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| K. Nichols | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| J. Tate | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Jordan | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Johnson | 36 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| James Blackmon | 35 | 7-12 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| OG Anunoby | 31 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Thomas Bryant | 27 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 23 | - |
| Josh Newkirk | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Devonte Green | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Juwan Morgan | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Zach McRoberts | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| De'Ron Davis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Curtis Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Freddie McSwain | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter