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2017-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 72.5% 27.5% -
Bradley-Terry 37.3% 62.7% -
Margin 56.2% 43.8% -1.4 (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 10.9% 89.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 3.3% 96.7% -
Log Adjusted 3.3% 96.7% -

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Coleman-Lands 35 7-13 5-8 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 21 9 -
M. Hill 28 5-12 0-3 11-13 4 3 1 0 2 21 15 -
M. Morgan 22 6-9 0-0 6-6 2 0 0 1 0 18 12 -
T. Abrams 19 1-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 -3 -
M. Finke 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Black 16 1-4 0-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 3 4 -
T. Lucas 15 2-3 0-0 2-5 1 4 1 0 2 6 7 -
M. Thorne Jr. 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. Nichols 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 4 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
J. Tate 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Jordan 9 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
D.J. Williams 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Johnson 36 7-11 2-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 18 10 -
J. Blackmon Jr. 35 7-12 5-9 6-7 4 3 0 0 1 25 19 -
O. Anunoby 31 4-6 1-2 3-4 4 3 0 2 0 12 15 -
T. Bryant 27 6-6 2-2 6-8 6 1 1 2 1 20 23 -
J. Newkirk 21 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 5 2 -
D. Green 13 2-5 1-3 0-2 2 2 1 0 2 5 3 -
J. Morgan 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 3 0 0 1 2 6 -
Z. Mcroberts 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
D. Davis 8 0-0 0-0 6-6 1 1 0 0 2 6 6 -
C. Jones 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
F. McSwain Jr. 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter