Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.4% | 74.6% | +5.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +10 (84-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bronson Koenig * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis * | 36 | 9-22 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Ethan Happ * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Zak Showalter * | 31 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Vitto Brown * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D'Mitrik Trice | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Khalil Iverson | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Brevin Pritzl | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Charles Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eron Harris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Miles Bridges * | 29 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Joshua Langford * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Nick Ward * | 19 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| A. Ellis III * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 29 | 2-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Matt McQuaid | 28 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Goins | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter