Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -14 (43-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zak Showalter * | 32 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ethan Happ * | 32 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| N. Hayes-Davis * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Bronson Koenig * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Vitto Brown * | 25 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D'Mitrik Trice | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Khalil Iverson | 15 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Charles Thomas | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Aaron Moesch | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Morgan * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Hill * | 35 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| T. Lucas * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Black * | 13 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Coleman-Lands | 24 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| K. Nichols | 22 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Finke | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Tate | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Jordan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter