Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | +2.1 | ✗ (23.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.1% | 12.9% | -10.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -21 (48-69). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Haines | 29 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Reili Richardson | 24 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 6 | - |
| S. Brunner | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Ryan | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| K. Moos | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Ibis | 16 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Johnson-Chapman | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Hattis | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Ruden | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| S. Goodson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Q. Dornstauder | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Petty | 40 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Sissom | 30 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3 | - |
| A. Johnson | 29 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 5 | - |
| G. Lyon | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| K. Collier | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Reuter | 18 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Louro | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Allison | 12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Savage | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Middlebrooks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter