๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2017-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Massachusetts Minutewomen Rhode Island Rams Spread Result
Elo 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 44.5% 55.5% - โœ“
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 61.7% 38.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 57.6% 42.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% - โœ“

Actual: Rhode Island Rams +3 (53-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Massachusetts Minutewomen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Leidel 39 3-16 3-9 5-6 5 3 1 0 1 14 6 -
M. Mulligan 39 6-14 0-0 2-9 11 0 1 6 5 14 13 -
L. McDerment 39 2-10 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 4 -2 -
R. Holder 37 3-7 0-0 2-4 5 1 2 0 4 8 5 -
A. Stiff 35 2-3 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 0 4 5 6 -
J. George 10 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
M. Burke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Rhode Island Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wilson 38 8-22 3-9 4-4 3 6 4 0 2 23 12 -
D. Ward 36 1-9 0-6 1-1 12 2 1 0 2 3 7 -
M. Johnson 33 1-9 1-9 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 -5 -
J. Ross 31 2-6 0-2 0-0 8 2 3 0 2 4 9 -
N. Jorgensen 25 8-15 0-0 1-6 10 0 2 5 2 17 17 -
A. Johnson 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 0 3 -
D. Motrechuk 12 1-4 0-0 1-1 2 1 2 6 1 3 9 -
E. Lassiter 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter