Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | George Mason Patriots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: George Mason Patriots -12 (48-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Grant-Allen | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| J. Layfield | 33 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Austria | 32 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| A. Harris | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16 | - |
| J. Scaife | 21 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| L. Cannatelli | 19 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Burdette | 16 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Cvitkovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Dennis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wilmoth | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bolton | 36 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| K. Wright | 36 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| T. Padgett | 23 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| C. Davis | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Grate | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Dodson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Kaminski | 21 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 | - |
| B. O'Donnell | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Triggs | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter