Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.2% | 0.8% | -26.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -14 (44-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. William | 37 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Chapel | 30 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| V. Vivians | 30 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 7 | - |
| C. Okorie | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Schaefer | 24 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Johnson | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. McCowan | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Richardson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Holmes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. DeGray | 39 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| M. Townson | 38 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Pratt | 32 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Collier | 26 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | - |
| S. Collins | 24 | 5-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -4 | - |
| R. DeGray | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Lytle | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| C. Dillard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter