Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +7 (98-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Fruendt | 39 | 17-31 | 6-16 | 6-7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 46 | 22 | - |
| A. Holt | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Buckley | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| L. Hughes | 23 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| D. Gitzen | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| L. Polowy | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Willard | 17 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| O. Osemenam | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| R. Swartz | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| S. Ealy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ingle | 32 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| L. Wendell | 29 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| S. Bachrodt | 29 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| B. Hittner | 27 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 19 | - |
| B. Rose | 24 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| B. Jonas | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| N. Miller | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| P. Greiner | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Rush | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Mertz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter