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2016-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Missouri State Bears Spread Result
ELO 18.4% 81.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.8% 78.2% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.6% 61.4% -

Actual: Missouri State Bears -11 (47-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
M. Townson 39 4-10 1-4 -2 4 5 2 3 9 7
S. Collins 39 8-19 -3 - 1 1 3 16 -4
R. DeGray 37 1-5 - 4-4 7 1 1 6 8
K. Collier 35 3-6 1-2 4-4 7 2 3 2 11 15
A. Hurlburt 22 1-3 - - 4 3 2 1 2 7
K. Pratt 19 3-5 - 3-3 3 2 9 5
R. DeGray 8 2-2 1-1 - 2 1 5 4
S. Chastain 1 - - - 0

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Buckley 31 4-11 1-2 -2 4 4 9 -2
D. Gitzen 31 3-8 2-2 - 3 2 2 3 8 4
A. Holt 25 1-3 - 1-2 4 2 3 2
L. Hughes 23 4-6 1-3 - 4 1 1 3 9 6
L. Fruendt 22 1-9 1-3 - 2 1 3 -5
R. Swartz 21 2-5 -1 - 2 1 2 4 0
L. Polowy 18 3-4 3-3 - 2 4 1 9 12
A. Willard 16 1-3 -1 - 5 1 2 2 3
S. Ealy 13 -3 - - 1 1 1 0

* = starter