Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.6% | 85.4% | +9.7 | ✗ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -11 (47-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Townson | 39 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| S. Collins | 39 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | -4 | - |
| R. DeGray | 37 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| K. Collier | 35 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| A. Hurlburt | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Pratt | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. DeGray | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| S. Chastain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Buckley | 31 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -2 | - |
| D. Gitzen | 31 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Holt | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Hughes | 23 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| L. Fruendt | 22 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| R. Swartz | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| L. Polowy | 18 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| A. Willard | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Ealy | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter