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2016-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 32.3% 67.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Margin 17.6% 82.4% +8.5 โœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Stockton 40 5-14 0-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 10 3 -
J. Barta 33 9-13 1-2 8-8 3 1 1 1 3 27 17 -
K. Kudron 30 3-6 0-0 2-3 6 1 0 2 2 8 9 -
E. Stach 29 4-8 2-5 1-2 8 2 1 0 2 11 12 -
E. Tinkle 29 0-5 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 1 2 0 0 -
C. Smith 14 1-5 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 3 0 -
E. Wolfram 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 1 1 5 1 -
M. Williams 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Loera 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Collett 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Thompson 40 7-12 5-6 2-2 4 3 0 0 3 21 13 -
K. Flaherty 39 9-16 4-7 0-0 3 7 1 0 5 22 12 -
H. Thome 32 7-10 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 4 1 14 17 -
D. Williams 23 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 4 8 -
J. Dunston 20 0-3 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
N. Munger 14 2-5 2-3 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 8 6 -
B. Brozoski 14 3-6 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 9 4 -
K. Robbins 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Gondrezick 7 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -3 -
A. Johnson 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter