Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.8% | 19.2% | -7.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -11 (48-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 39 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams * | 37 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Spencer * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Mathurin * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| C. Nelson * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| A. Maize | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Rogers | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| K. Ealey | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Cole | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mason * | 37 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Willoughby * | 26 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3 | - |
| L. Moses * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| L. Jablonowski * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Brown | 29 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Jones | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Huland El | 17 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| F. Aiyeotan | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Allen | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter