Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.0% | 97.0% | +19.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +11 (66-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mason * | 38 | 7-11 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Willoughby * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| L. Moses * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Jablonowski * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown | 20 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| A. Huland El | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| F. Aiyeotan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Allen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Dunham | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Durr * | 40 | 9-20 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 13 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Jones * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 | - |
| C. Walton * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Shook * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| S. Fuehring | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| S. Zambrotta | 11 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter