Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.5% | 23.5% | -6.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -19 (51-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lambert * | 36 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Brown * | 35 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| R. Greenwell * | 29 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| L. Odom * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Cooper * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| E. Mathias | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| O. Chidom | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Primm | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| F. Suggs | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Willoughby * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Mason * | 31 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| L. Moses * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 24 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Huland El * | 18 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Brown | 25 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Aiyeotan | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Jones | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter