Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.3% | 67.7% | +4.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +3 (55-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Greenwell * | 35 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| L. Odom * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| L. Brown * | 31 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| K. Lambert * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Cooper * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| O. Chidom | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Primm | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| E. Mathias | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| F. Suggs | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Belton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Wilson * | 38 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Mathurin * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| C. Nelson * | 35 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Spencer * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams * | 33 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| C. Anderson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Ealey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Maize | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Cassell | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter