Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.4% | 7.6% | -13.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Durr * | 43 | 4-18 | 2-11 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| M. Moore * | 39 | 8-17 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen * | 38 | 12-24 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 27 | - |
| C. Walton * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| B. Jackson * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Johnson | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Johnson | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Zambrotta | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Fuehring | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Shook | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Laemmle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mason * | 40 | 6-14 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| A. Huland El * | 35 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| L. Moses * | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| J. Willoughby * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| D. Toussaint * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | - |
| J. Brown | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| L. Jablonowski | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Aiyeotan | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| M. Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter