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2016-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 36.4% 63.6% +3.1 (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Epps * 38 5-13 0-0 2-2 3 2 3 0 4 12 3 -
T. Murray * 37 6-15 2-2 4-4 4 1 1 0 2 18 7 -
M. Morris * 31 3-15 1-7 4-4 3 0 1 1 3 11 -2 -
E. Akhator * 30 0-3 0-0 1-2 15 1 4 0 3 1 15 -
A. Rice * 20 0-3 0-0 2-6 5 1 0 1 5 2 1 -
M. Cann 32 2-8 1-5 0-0 4 1 5 0 1 5 6 -
J. Roper 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. Hardin 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
P. Poffenberger 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Brown * 37 6-12 4-7 8-8 2 1 5 0 3 24 17 -
R. Greenwell * 37 3-9 1-4 3-4 10 5 1 0 5 10 12 -
K. Lambert * 34 1-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 5 3 -
O. Chidom * 33 5-6 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 2 7 11 6 -
L. Odom * 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 2 2 4 5 -
K. Cooper 17 5-6 0-0 0-1 2 3 1 0 1 10 9 -
E. Mathias 14 2-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 4 4 -
C. Primm 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 3 -
L. Belton 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
F. Suggs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter