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2016-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 86.4% 13.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 81.9% 18.1% - โœ“
Margin 94.7% 5.3% -15.9 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 66.4% 33.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.6% 4.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 79.8% 20.2% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores -12 (66-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hines-Allen 39 11-18 0-0 2-3 15 1 2 0 4 24 20 -
A. Durr 34 4-13 2-4 6-6 4 1 1 2 1 16 10 -
B. Jackson 33 4-10 1-4 0-1 1 6 1 0 2 9 5 -
M. Moore 31 2-10 1-7 1-2 5 8 2 0 4 6 7 -
C. Walton 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 4 4 -
J. Jones 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Shook 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 4 8 -
T. Johnson 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Johnson 6 4-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
S. Zambrotta 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Walker 35 3-8 2-5 4-5 3 3 3 0 2 12 11 -
L. Carter 32 3-15 1-1 3-5 8 3 0 0 2 10 4 -
K. Overbeck 29 4-9 0-0 2-5 13 0 1 0 2 10 13 -
R. Bell 29 6-13 2-4 7-8 4 3 0 1 3 21 13 -
M. Webb 21 2-6 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
C. Reed 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -1 -
E. Whalen 12 2-7 1-4 1-2 0 1 0 1 0 6 1 -
M. Seawright 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Dahlman 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
K. Clemons-Green 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 0 -3 -

* = starter