Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Fullerton Titans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +16 (73-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Fullerton Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Vega * | 37 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Jackson * | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | - |
| D. Smith * | 34 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| C. Henderson * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| L. Nubla * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Johnson | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Gallo | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Gilbert * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| A. Lovely * | 29 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| D. Stahley * | 28 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Leaupepe * | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| L. Leaupepe * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | - |
| G. Grupalo | 19 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Nunnelley | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Evans | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Wong | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Anderson | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| N. Fausey | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter