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2016-11-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 1.1% 98.9% -
Bradley-Terry 2.2% 97.8% -
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +38.7 (22.7 off)
Pythagorean 19.2% 80.8% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +16 (80-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lovely 35 3-9 1-4 0-0 9 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
H. Gilbert 33 4-7 0-0 5-6 8 0 4 0 0 13 18 -
L. Leaupepe 32 8-20 1-3 5-5 5 1 2 0 3 22 7 -
D. Leaupepe 28 1-13 1-3 3-4 5 2 0 1 2 6 -1 -
D. Stahley 24 0-2 0-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 2 1 1 -
G. Grupalo 15 4-6 1-2 1-2 3 1 0 0 5 10 3 -
N. Fausey 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Wong 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Nunnelley 5 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
B. Holt 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -
E. Anderson 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Evans 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Canada 36 7-9 0-1 5-5 10 9 3 0 3 19 29 -
K. Hayes 26 1-4 0-3 5-8 5 1 0 0 3 7 6 -
K. Korver 25 2-13 2-12 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 6 -1 -
K. Burke 24 2-7 1-6 9-12 7 1 2 0 1 14 16 -
N. Kornet 24 5-13 3-9 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 14 6 -
M. Billings 23 7-11 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 1 2 15 7 -
P. Hersler 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 2 0 0 2 -
A. Rosenblum 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 1 5 7 -
A. Hearn 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 0 5 -

* = starter