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2016-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 72.3% 27.7% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 (19.9 off)
Pythagorean 21.4% 78.6% -
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Log Adjusted 31.7% 68.3% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Davis Jr. 33 3-9 1-5 2-4 4 2 0 0 0 9 6 -
T. Mack 29 5-9 3-6 5-10 4 0 1 1 1 18 14 -
K. Roach 27 2-7 0-3 3-6 5 3 2 1 2 7 9 -
K. Yancy 24 2-4 1-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
J. Allen 23 2-6 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 0 5 5 0 -
J. Banks III 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -
A. Jones 18 3-8 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 9 2 -
S. Cleare 17 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 2 2 -
J. Young 8 1-2 1-2 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McIntosh 37 7-18 2-7 4-4 1 5 2 0 1 20 9 -
D. Pardon 36 4-7 0-0 2-5 11 1 0 2 0 10 17 -
S. Lindsey 29 6-12 3-7 1-1 4 1 1 1 4 16 7 -
S. Lumpkin 26 2-3 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 5 8 -
I. Brown 20 4-8 2-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 10 1 -
V. Law 19 2-4 1-2 4-4 3 0 2 0 2 9 8 -
N. Taphorn 16 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
G. Skelly 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 1 0 2 11 -
B. Benson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Ash 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter