Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 96.1% | 3.9% | -17.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -30 (47-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vivians | 33 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| D. Dillingham | 31 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. William | 28 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| K. Chapel | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| C. Okorie | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| T. McCowan | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| B. Richardson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Holmes | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Schaefer | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams-Holliday | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Montgomery | 34 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| K. Frerking | 33 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. McKay | 28 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Jones | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Dieng | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Sanders | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| E. Jones | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Lewis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Alexander | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter