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2017-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.6 โœ— (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 79.0% 21.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 79.6% 20.4% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 56.7% 43.3% - โœ—

Actual: Missouri Tigers +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Morris 40 6-15 1-5 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 14 1 -
T. Murray 38 4-10 0-1 10-10 13 4 3 0 3 18 25 -
M. Epps 38 8-15 2-4 2-4 4 1 0 0 2 20 8 -
E. Akhator 26 3-10 0-0 2-2 6 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
A. Rice 21 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Cann 21 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Roper 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 7 7 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cunningham 40 3-8 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
C. Porter 37 3-9 0-1 11-11 7 2 1 1 4 17 15 -
S. Michaelis 31 7-13 3-7 2-2 3 2 3 0 2 19 12 -
A. Smith 31 6-10 2-3 1-2 8 1 0 0 1 15 13 -
L. Doty 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
S. Cunningham 24 4-7 0-1 6-9 9 1 1 0 2 14 16 -
H. Schuchts 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Chavis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Roundtree 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Michael 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter