Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +5 (68-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kornet * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 23 | - |
| Jeff Roberson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Matthew Fisher-Davis * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 25 | - |
| Riley LaChance * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| Payton Willis * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Joe Toye | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nolan Cressler | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Djery Baptiste | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Clevon Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cooke * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 31 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Kendall Pollard * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sam Miller | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Crosby | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter