Model Predictions
| Model | Vanderbilt Commodores | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.4% | 63.6% | +3.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +10 (76-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vanderbilt Commodores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip McGloin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Riley LaChance * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Luke Kornet * | 28 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Jeff Roberson * | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Djery Baptiste * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Matthew Fisher-Davis * | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Payton Willis | 27 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Nolan Cressler | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Clevon Brown | 16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Joe Toye | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Camron Justice | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Chrabascz * | 37 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Tyler Lewis * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 6-10 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Kelan Martin * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-5 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Tyler Wideman * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Avery Woodson * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kamar Baldwin | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Sean McDermott | 20 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kethan Savage | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nate Fowler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Henry Baddley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter