Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.2% | 15.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.7% | 6.3% | -14.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -22 (73-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.C. Hampton | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Admon Gilder * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Tyler Davis * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tonny Trocha-Morelos * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Hogg * | 18 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Eric Vila | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Smith | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Tavario Miller | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Robert Williams | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Chase Carlton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Collins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kobie Eubanks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mark French | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Frank Byers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Nugent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darin Johnson | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Smith * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Parks * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Rakim Lubin * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Dylan Johns * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Tavrion Dawson | 28 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Micheal Warren | 23 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Jerron Wilbut | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Reggie Theus | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mahamadou Kaba-Camara | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Richardson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Blair Orr | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter