Model Predictions
| Model | Texas A&M Aggies | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.1% | 10.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.4% | 4.6% | -16.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -22 (73-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas A&M Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hampton | 18 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Gilder * | 27 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| T. Davis * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Trocha-Morelos * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Hogg * | 18 | 9-12 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 20 | - |
| E. Vila | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Smith | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Miller | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| R. Williams III | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| C. Carlton | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Collins | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Eubanks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. French | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Byers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Nugent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Johnson | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Smith * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| A. Parks * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| R. Lubin * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Johns * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Dawson | 28 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| M. Warren | 23 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Wilbut | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| R. Theus Jr. | 16 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Kaba-Camara | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Richardson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Orr | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter