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2016-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 63.5% 36.5% -
Bradley-Terry 53.7% 46.3% -
Margin 69.3% 30.7% -4.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.5% 38.5% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Adebayo * 35 5-6 0-0 1-6 9 1 1 2 3 11 15 -
D. Fox * 34 7-15 1-3 6-10 2 3 2 0 4 21 9 -
I. Briscoe * 31 1-5 0-0 6-6 5 3 1 0 1 8 11 -
M. Monk * 29 6-17 1-9 3-3 3 1 1 0 3 16 1 -
W. Gabriel * 12 0-2 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 2 0 2 10 -
D. Willis 28 2-7 1-5 1-2 9 1 1 0 1 6 9 -
D. Hawkins 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Mulder 9 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
I. Humphries 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Adel * 37 5-10 2-3 6-6 6 2 1 0 1 18 16 -
Q. Snider * 37 10-19 2-6 0-0 6 5 2 0 3 22 13 -
D. Mitchell * 28 3-12 2-5 5-7 4 1 0 0 4 13 2 -
J. Johnson * 26 7-11 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 1 1 14 10 -
M. Mathiang * 25 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 0 3 -
A. Mahmoud 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 0 3 -
R. Spalding 13 1-2 0-0 4-4 7 1 0 0 1 6 11 -
D. Levitch 12 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Hicks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
V.J. King 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter