Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Adebayo * | 35 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Fox * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| I. Briscoe * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| M. Monk * | 29 | 6-17 | 1-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 1 | - |
| W. Gabriel * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| D. Willis | 28 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Hawkins | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Mulder | 9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| I. Humphries | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Adel * | 37 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Q. Snider * | 37 | 10-19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| D. Mitchell * | 28 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| J. Johnson * | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Mathiang * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Spalding | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| D. Levitch | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| V.J. King | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter