Model Predictions
| Model | UCLA Bruins | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -5 (92-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lonzo Ball * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Bryce Alford * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Hamilton * | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| T.J. Leaf * | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Thomas Welsh * | 19 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Holiday | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Ike Anigbogu | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Gyorgy Goloman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk * | 36 | 10-19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 34 | 4-14 | 0-5 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 34 | 8-20 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Derek Willis | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Isaac Humphries | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
* = starter