Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.2% | 27.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 80.0% | 20.0% | -7.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -21 (48-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Briscoe * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Malik Monk * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Bam Adebayo * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Derek Willis * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Isaac Humphries | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Sacha Killeya-Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tai Wynyard | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brad Calipari | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Bridges * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Kenny Goins * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Matt McQuaid * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Nairn Jr. * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Eron Harris * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Cassius Winston | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Joshua Langford | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Ellis III | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Nick Ward | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Ahrens | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Van Dyk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter