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2017-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.7 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.5% 54.5% -
Efficiency 53.4% 46.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.8% 62.2% -
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Florida Gators +22 (88-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Monk 34 4-14 3-7 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 11 -1 -
B. Adebayo 33 4-10 0-0 1-5 7 1 4 1 2 9 10 -
I. Briscoe 30 3-10 0-1 0-2 3 3 0 0 4 6 -2 -
D. Fox 25 5-11 0-1 9-10 3 0 0 0 3 19 8 -
D. Hawkins 21 0-4 0-2 4-4 0 0 1 0 3 4 -2 -
D. Willis 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
M. Mulder 16 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
W. Gabriel 13 2-2 1-1 0-2 5 0 0 1 0 5 9 -
T. Wynyard 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
I. Humphries 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Robinson 36 5-7 3-4 3-5 9 0 0 2 2 16 18 -
C. Chiozza 28 1-7 0-4 0-0 9 9 2 0 2 2 13 -
K. Hill 27 8-16 1-3 4-8 5 6 1 1 3 21 15 -
K. Allen 26 4-12 2-8 2-2 4 3 2 0 1 12 8 -
J. Egbunu 21 3-4 0-0 2-6 7 0 0 1 2 8 10 -
J. Leon 19 1-4 1-3 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
C. Barry 18 4-7 2-3 4-4 0 0 0 0 0 14 7 -
K. Hayes 12 2-2 0-0 1-1 5 0 0 3 2 5 9 -
S. Rimmer 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
E. Hester 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter