Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gators | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.7% | 38.3% | -2.6 | ✗ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +5 (83-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida Gators
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasey Hill * | 36 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 9 | - |
| John Egbunu * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Justin Leon * | 21 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| KeVaughn Allen * | 20 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | - |
| Devin Robinson * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Canyon Barry | 26 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Chris Chiozza | 22 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Keith Stone | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kevarrius Hayes | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Eric Hester | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Bacon * | 31 | 9-18 | 0-4 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Terance Mann * | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 29 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Michael Ojo * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Trent Forrest | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Christ Koumadje | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Braian Angola-Rodas | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| CJ Walker | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| PJ Savoy | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Phil Cofer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter