Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.7% | 59.3% | +2.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +20 (92-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Dunans | 36 | 10-20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 4 | - |
| Bryce Brown | 27 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Mustapha Heron | 26 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Jared Harper | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Horace Spencer | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T.J. Lang | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Ronnie Johnson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Austin Wiley | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| LaRon Smith | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Anfernee McLemore | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Monk | 36 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 17 | - |
| Bam Adebayo | 35 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 29 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-4 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| De'Aaron Fox | 27 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Briscoe | 25 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Dominique Hawkins | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mychal Mulder | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Derek Willis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Isaac Humphries | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter