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2016-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.8% 71.2% - โœ“
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 โœ“ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 43.5% 56.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.0% 59.0% - โœ“

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +12 (84-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Galen Robinson * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 0 0 3 14 18 -
Damyean Dotson * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 2 0 2 15 27 -
Robert Gray * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 22 25 -
Kyle Meyer * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 7 11 -
Devin Davis * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Danrad Knowles 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 6 -
Wes VanBeck 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 12 -
Bertrand Nkali 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
Morris Dunnigan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Armoni Brooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daryl Macon * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 17 21 -
Manuale Watkins * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 1 0 0 6 18 -
Moses Kingsley * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 2 3 14 24 -
Dustin Thomas * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 1 11 19 -
Jaylen Barford * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Anton Beard 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 9 13 -
Dusty Hannahs 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 17 17 -
Trey Thompson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 2 0 4 9 -
Arlando Cook 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C.J. Jones 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
Adrio Bailey 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 1 3 -

* = starter