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2017-02-07

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide South Carolina Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 88.5% 11.5% -
Bradley-Terry 41.5% 58.5% -
Margin 79.3% 20.7% -7.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
Log Adjusted 44.9% 55.1% -

Actual: South Carolina Gamecocks -4 (86-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Norris * 46 3-9 0-2 5-5 14 4 0 0 0 11 20 -
D. Hall * 39 3-6 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 4 4 8 9 -
D. Ingram * 30 2-4 0-0 3-6 5 1 1 0 6 7 4 -
B. Key * 26 3-6 0-2 0-3 6 2 0 0 4 6 4 -
B. Olaniyan * 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
A. Johnson Jr. 44 9-21 5-10 0-0 6 3 2 0 3 23 10 -
A. Davis 38 6-12 3-7 4-6 2 0 1 0 2 19 8 -
C. Collins 33 2-8 0-3 1-2 4 0 2 0 1 5 2 -
S. Hale 20 0-3 0-3 6-8 6 0 0 0 2 6 7 -
J. Taylor 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 5 1 0 1 0 3 9 -

South Carolina Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Thornwell * 56 9-25 1-7 25-33 21 2 2 0 6 44 38 -
P. Dozier * 54 8-24 3-8 2-6 5 2 4 0 3 21 5 -
D. Notice * 54 1-11 1-8 2-4 3 1 3 0 1 5 0 -
M. Kotsar * 24 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
C. Silva * 22 3-7 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 2 2 9 11 -
J. McKie 32 1-9 0-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
H. Gravett 29 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
T. Blanton 12 0-2 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Felder 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
S. Keita 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Gueye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter