Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.4% | 70.6% | +4.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +19 (87-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Key * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Riley Norris * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Bola Olaniyan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Corban Collins | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Ar'Mond Davis | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Jimmie Taylor | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Lawson Schaffer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Beard * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jaylen Barford * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Daryl Macon * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Moses Kingsley * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Arlando Cook * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Manuale Watkins | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Dusty Hannahs | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Dustin Thomas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Adrio Bailey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Trey Thompson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| C.J. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Holmes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter