Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dazon Ingram * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 32 | 5-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| Riley Norris * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jimmie Taylor | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Corban Collins | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bola Olaniyan | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Shannon Hale | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I.J. Ready * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Mario Kegler * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Quinndary Weatherspoon * | 33 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Schnider Herard * | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Xavian Stapleton * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Aric Holman | 25 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Tyson Carter | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Lamar Peters | 21 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Eli Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter