Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama Crimson Tide | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.4% | 37.6% | -2.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks +9 (65-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Key * | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dazon Ingram * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Donta Hall * | 25 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Corban Collins * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Bola Olaniyan * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Riley Norris | 29 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Ar'Mond Davis | 20 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Jimmie Taylor | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shannon Hale | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 11 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Dorsey * | 35 | 6-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 10 | - |
| D. Ennis * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| James Bell * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Pritchard * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Boucher * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Brooks | 31 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Benson | 23 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| K. Bigby-Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter