Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.5% | 57.5% | +0.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -5 (72-77). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Cooke * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 9-13 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Scoochie Smith * | 34 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Mikesell * | 25 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Davis * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Cunningham * | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Sam Miller | 25 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Darrell Davis | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Xeyrius Williams | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| John Crosby | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dazon Ingram * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Corban Collins * | 29 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Riley Norris * | 27 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jimmie Taylor * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Bola Olaniyan * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Braxton Key | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Donta Hall | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
| Shannon Hale | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Nick King | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ar'Mond Davis | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Avery Johnson Jr. | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter