Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +4 (70-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Toliver * | 34 | 4-15 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Candace Parker * | 34 | 3-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike * | 31 | 9-13 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Alana Beard * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Essence Carson * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jantel Lavender | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ana Dabovic | 11 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Chelsea Gray | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 31 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Tamera Young * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Jessica Breland * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Imani McGee-Stafford * | 23 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Clarissa Dos Santos | 28 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jamierra Faulkner | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Erika de Souza | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter