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2016-10-02

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Lynx Phoenix Mercury Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% -
Bradley-Terry 72.9% 27.1% -
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 (10.8 off)
Pythagorean 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Mercury -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Lynx

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 31 8-15 0-2 4-4 6 3 3 0 1 20 16 -
N. Howard 28 8-11 0-0 1-1 8 3 1 0 3 17 15 -
S. Augustus 26 4-14 0-1 4-4 2 3 3 0 0 12 6 -
R. Brunson 25 1-6 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 1 2 7 -
L. Whalen 23 4-5 0-0 3-4 2 5 1 1 1 11 14 -
S. Fowles 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 8 8 -
J. Perkins 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
R. Montgomery 14 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 7 2 -
A. Cruz 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McCarville 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Hampton 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Phoenix Mercury

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Griner 37 4-7 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 9 8 -
D. Taurasi 29 4-10 3-8 1-2 4 2 0 2 3 12 7 -
C. Dupree 27 1-5 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
P. Taylor 25 0-7 0-3 4-4 4 2 3 0 2 4 4 -
D. Bonner 23 5-12 0-3 2-4 6 1 0 0 3 12 4 -
M. Xargay 20 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 2 6 6 -
L. Harding 17 2-5 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 1 2 4 -2 -
I. Harrison 13 3-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. Harden 3 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Bass 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Petrovic 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter