Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.1% | 31.9% | -4.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -15 (67-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 31 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| N. Howard | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| S. Augustus | 26 | 4-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| R. Brunson | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| S. Fowles | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Perkins | 18 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| A. Cruz | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McCarville | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Hampton | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| C. Dupree | 27 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| P. Taylor | 25 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| D. Bonner | 23 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| M. Xargay | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Harding | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| I. Harrison | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Harden | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| M. Bass | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter