Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +10 (96-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi | 36 | 9-19 | 2-7 | 11-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 17 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| P. Taylor | 30 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 18 | - |
| M. Xargay | 30 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Griner | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| M. Bass | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Harding | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | - |
| M. Moore | 32 | 6-18 | 4-7 | 10-10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | - |
| S. Augustus | 29 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| L. Whalen | 25 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Sylvia Fowles | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| J. Perkins | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter