Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.7% | 84.3% | +9.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +18 (113-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| C. Dupree | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 24 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - |
| S. Petrovic | 22 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Bonner | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| P. Taylor | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Xargay | 18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| L. Harding | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Bass | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| I. Harrison | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Bone | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Harden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Brunson | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Moore | 29 | 12-19 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 21 | - |
| L. Whalen | 24 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | - |
| S. Fowles | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 18 | - |
| S. Augustus | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Montgomery | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| N. Howard | 19 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Cruz | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Perkins | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Hampton | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter