Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky +10 (108-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Williams | 39 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 37 | 10-17 | 3-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Angel McCoughtry | 36 | 9-21 | 4-6 | 5-8 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Bria Holmes | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| M. Ajavon | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| M. Gatling | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| M. Simmons | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Reshanda Gray | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Cortijo | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 34 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | - |
| J. Breland | 33 | 10-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 28 | - |
| T. Young | 30 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| I. McGee-Stafford | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| E. de Souza | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Allie Quigley | 8 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Faulkner | 6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. dos Santos | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter