Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✗ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New York Liberty -7 (94-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 37 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Candice Dupree | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 32 | 9-17 | 4-8 | 8-8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 15 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 30 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| M. Xargay | 30 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| P. Taylor | 27 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 15 | - |
| M. Bass | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Harding | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tina Charles | 36 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| S. Zellous | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Wright | 28 | 10-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| C. Swords | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| S. Rodgers | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Epiphanny Prince | 17 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| S. Cash | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Boyd-Jones | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Amanda Zahui B | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter