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2017-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 20.3% 79.7% +6.6 ✗ (21.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% - ✗
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 ✗ (19.8 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% - ✗

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -15 (83-98). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Norman Powell * 34 10-13 3-5 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 25 17 -
Pascal Siakam * 28 4-8 0-1 0-0 10 0 1 0 1 8 10 -
Delon Wright * 28 3-10 1-3 2-4 1 0 2 0 1 9 1 -
Jakob Poeltl * 22 3-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 0 1 0 7 12 -
Fred VanVleet * 20 2-7 0-1 1-2 4 6 0 0 0 5 8 -
Bruno Caboclo * 17 5-11 1-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 11 6 -
Kyle Lowry * 17 4-8 1-5 4-6 2 4 0 0 4 13 7 -
DeMarre Carroll * 16 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Jonas Valančiūnas * 15 6-10 1-1 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 13 11 -
Patrick Patterson * 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 5 -
Lucas Nogueira * 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
P.J. Tucker * 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Cory Joseph * 6 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Jones * 36 3-16 1-12 2-3 5 2 0 1 1 9 0 -
Iman Shumpert * 29 3-8 0-3 5-6 3 3 2 0 4 11 7 -
Derrick Williams * 27 3-8 2-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 0 10 9 -
Richard Jefferson * 25 1-4 1-3 4-5 6 2 1 0 1 7 11 -
JR Smith * 24 1-9 1-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 3 0 -
Deron Williams * 24 3-6 3-4 1-1 3 4 0 0 4 10 7 -
Edy Tavares * 24 3-4 0-0 0-1 10 1 0 6 2 6 17 -
Tristan Thompson * 18 5-6 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 10 8 -
Dahntay Jones * 12 3-8 0-2 3-4 2 1 0 0 1 9 3 -
Kyle Korver * 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Channing Frye * 7 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -

* = starter