Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✓ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +13 (124-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yogi Ferrell * | 32 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 20 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Matthews * | 19 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Nerlens Noel * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nicolas Brussino | 33 | 4-12 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 32 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Jarrod Uthoff | 26 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - |
| AJ Hammons | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Salah Mejri | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Devin Harris | 8 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Ulis * | 33 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| T.J. Warren * | 29 | 8-8 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Alex Len * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Devin Booker * | 22 | 8-15 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Marquese Chriss * | 17 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dragan Bender | 35 | 4-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 27 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ronnie Price | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Alan Williams | 12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Elijah Millsap | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Jared Dudley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter