Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.1% | 67.9% | +3.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +13 (110-97). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul George * | 36 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Thaddeus Young * | 33 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Monta Ellis * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jeff Teague * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Brooks | 28 | 6-15 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| CJ Miles | 24 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Lavoy Allen | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Rakeem Christmas | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Kevin Seraphin | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Joe Young | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Georges Niang | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Conley * | 37 | 13-21 | 7-12 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 27 | - |
| Tony Allen * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 33 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 7-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| James Ennis III * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Brandan Wright * | 27 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Zach Randolph | 24 | 8-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Troy Daniels | 18 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Andrew Harrison | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Deyonta Davis | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Wayne Selden | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Wade Baldwin IV | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter