Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.6% | 69.4% | +4.5 | ✓ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +18 (123-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 38 | 11-17 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 24 | - |
| Andrew Wiggins * | 38 | 10-23 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 35 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Ricky Rubio * | 32 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shabazz Muhammad | 27 | 7-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Tyus Jones | 14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kris Dunn | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Cole Aldrich | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hassan Whiteside * | 32 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Goran Dragic * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Rodney McGruder * | 19 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Luke Babbitt * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Dion Waiters * | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 32 | 9-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Josh Richardson | 31 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| James Johnson | 27 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Wayne Ellington | 17 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Willie Reed | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Okaro White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter